Tonight (Friday 10th March), Wales take on Ireland in Cardiff in the 2017 6 Nations clash. It is the first match of the penultimate weekend of this year’s 6 Nations, and a Friday evening clash in Cardiff usually has a special atmosphere. Wales have lost two matches from three, with their heavy defeat at Murrayfield two weekends ago still being picked over by the rugby media and pundits in Wales. This means that we are out of contention for this year’s 6 Nations title, but there is more than pride at stake.
The 2019 World Cup draw will be made in the next few months, and if Wales do not win at least one of their remaining two matches in the 6 Nations they risk dropping out of the top 8 in the World rankings. This means that they will be drawn in the same group as two higher ranked teams, with one team from the top 4 and the second team from 5-8. This was the situation we faced in the 2015 World Cup, being drawn in the same group as Australia and England.
This has left Welsh interim-coach Rob Howley with a difficult decision to make. There have been calls for him to try starting players like Sam Davies at outside half, with the 6 Nations title now out of reach. But, we cannot afford to lose either of our two remaining matches because of the World Cup draw. So, despite most people in Wales calling for some changes to the starting 15, Howley has decided to keep exactly the same 23 as he did against Scotland, with the same starting 15 too.
Ireland, on the other hand, are still in with a chance of the 6 Nations title. Win in Cardiff tonight and it will come down to a probable title-decider against England at home in Dublin on Saturday the 18th. Based on their performances in their 3 matches so far, I think Ireland will be too good for Wales. Of course I want to see a Wales victory, but unfortunately I think Ireland are going to win. Whoever wins, it should be a very exciting match.